I. Introduction: The
objective of the present discourse is to discuss various methods that are
suggested or applied to find a pecuniary measure of the worth of environmental
goods and services and evaluate them from the viewpoint of institutionalism. In
a larger perspective, the preoccupation of obtaining a pecuniary measure of
something tangible or intangible suffers from many drawbacks, but
(traditionally) economists have chosen to stick to that. Moreover, the methods
that we are going to discuss suffer from an additional flaw of assuming that
“the desired” and “the desirable” are identical. This is a serious flaw that we
inherit from the Benthamites, J S Mill in particular. We must keep aware of
these (cultural, ideological and methodological) biases of economists in the
back of our mind while discussing what follows.
To appreciate the
institutionalistic viewpoint one must conceive of an economy as an organism
(rather than a mechanism) with close connection with the ecology. Environmental
goods and services are the biogeochemical processes, attributes or the products
thereof that relate to the self-maintenance of an ecosystem, provision of
wildlife habitat, cycling of carbon, nitrogen, phosphorus, sulphur, water or
the trapping of nutrients, etc. and make the basis of sustenance as well as
prosperity to the human society. Only some environmental goods and
services have markets, and therefore, prices of only a few of them are
available as data. These prices too, are only the indicators of the minimal
payments at which the consumers and the producers have agreed to enter into
transactions. At these prices, there may be substantial consumer and/or
producer surpluses that may go unaccounted. The worth of environmental goods
and services include these unaccounted surpluses, but their prices do not
generally reflect their worth. However, a greater part of environmental goods
and services have no markets and, therefore, no prices at which they are
available to the consumers. Valuation of such goods and services is much more
relevant.
Environmental goods and services are often public goods, which to some extent, may be harnessed by many without adversely affecting each other’s interest. However, these goods and services have a limit to their bearing capacity, beyond which they cannot sustain their use. Crowding on their use can decrease users’ utility. Public goods often suffer free-riders’ problem. Although each user values them, none has an incentive to pay to maintain them. These goods and services may also be affected by externalities, or uncompensated side effects of human actions. Market mechanism cannot often regulate their consumption, production and allocation. That necessitates a collective action for their upkeep, which incurs considerable public cost. Hence, the valuation such goods and services may help the resource managers to deal with the effects of market failures, by measuring their social and opportunity costs. The costs to society can then be imposed, in various ways, on those who are responsible, or can be used to evaluate and regulate environmental impacts.
In what follows, we will first describe the methods suggested or applied for pecuniary valuation of environmental goods and services. Then we will assess them on certain principles of institutional economics. Subsequently, a tentative scheme for non-pecuniary valuation of environmental goods and services will be proposed.
II. Alternative Methods of valuation of Environmental Goods and Services: Methods of valuation of environmental goods and services may broadly be classified into two categories: (1) Pecuniary, and (2) non-pecuniary. Pecuniary valuation methods obtain the ‘money equivalent’ of these goods and services – money is used as the numéraire, while non-pecuniary methods, more general in nature, may use any numéraire for valuation. Our primary concern here is to discuss only the methods of pecuniary valuation. These (pecuniary) methods may again be classified into three: (i) based on Market Prices or Revealed Willingness to Pay, (ii) based on Circumstantial Evidence or Imputed Willingness to Pay, and (iii) based on survey of Expressed Willingness to Pay. In each category, there are several alternative methods.
Valuation of Environmental
Goods and Services
Contingent Valuation Method Contingent Choice Method
III. Valuation on the Revealed
Willingness to Pay: Whenever an environmental good/service or a product
using it as an input has a market, the buyers reveal their willingness to pay,
since they buy the good/service at a price. On this principle four methods have
been developed. They are: (i) The Market Price Method, (ii) The Productivity
Method, (iii) The Hedonic Pricing Method, and (iv) The Traveling Cost Method.
In this section we discuss them in some detail.
III.1. The market price method: This
method estimates consumer’s surplus and producer’s surplus using market price
and quantity data regarding the environmental goods/services (e.g. fish,
timber) traded in the market. Consumer’s surplus is the benefit enjoyed by the
consumer over and above the cost that he has paid for commanding them.
Similarly, the producer’s surplus is the benefit that he enjoys over and above
the cost that he has incurred in producing and marketing the output. The total
net economic benefit, or economic surplus, is the sum of consumer surplus and
producer surplus. Environmental goods and services that generate larger net
surplus are more valuable.
This method has several
limitations. First, since only a few environmental goods/services are bought
and sold in the markets, its coverage is limited. Secondly, market
imperfections distort prices and, therefore, the efficacy of such prices in
measuring the net benefits. Prices also vary seasonally and cyclically.
Further, the ambit of market economy depends on the level of development of an
economy. In less developed economies many resources that contribute to the
produce brought to the market go unaccounted and thus are not reflected in the
prices.
It may also be noted that
estimation of net economic benefits depends on estimation of consumer and
producer surpluses, which in turn, depends on the specifications of the demand
and the supply curves. Depending on the specification, the functional relationships
between demand, supply and their determinants may be overwhelmingly complicated
or too simple. The functional relationships may be linear or non-linear,
bivariate or multivariate and so on. The list of determinant variables (such as
income, prices of substitutes, prices of other goods, etc.) may not be an easy
task to make. Due to all these, the estimation of consumer as well as producer
surplus will be model dependent. Consequently, the estimated net benefits also
would be model dependent.
III.2. Productivity Method: This
method is applicable in cases where the environmental goods/services are
some (or one) of the inputs to produce a marketed good. An appropriately
specified production function may indicate the contribution of these inputs to
the output and from this information one may deduce the benefit due to these
inputs. This method requires that data must be collected regarding how changes
in the quantity or quality of the environmental resource affect - (i) costs of
production for the final good, (ii) demand for and supply of the final good,
(iii) demand for and supply of other factors of production. This information is
used to link the effects of changes in the quantity or quality of the resource
to changes in consumer surplus and/or producer surplus, and thus to estimate
the economic benefits. However, not all environmental goods/services are
related to the production of marketed goods. This fact limits the scope
of application of this method. In making policies, one has to understand the relationships
between actions to improve quality or quantity of the resource and the outcomes
of those actions. These relationships are not obvious. If the changes in the
availability, quantity and quality of environmental goods/services affect the
market price of the final good, or the prices of any other inputs, the method
is difficult to apply. Specification and estimation of a suitable
production function is not an easy task. Moreover, the very concept of
production function presumes optimal utilization of inputs, which, in the real
life is not always feasible. There are many obstacles to optimal utilization of
inputs, such as X-efficiency, moral hazards, premium for uncertainties, robust
local optima, rational ignorance and so on. It has also been pointed out that
activity analysis, rather than production functions, give a true picture of the
relationship between inputs and the output. If activity analysis of production
process is carried out as a background to productivity method of valuation, a
better and more reliable valuation would be possible.
III.3. Hedonic Pricing Method: Consider a
(marketed) good/service as a bundle of characteristics (as Lancaster has
suggested). The producer enriches his product with the characteristics in
demand (and some more that may induce product differentiation and/or cover the
demand of a larger or heterogeneous clientele). A buyer has a demand for a
number of these characteristics (maybe, not all characteristics that the said
bundle possesses) and pays for them. A diminution in the desired
characteristics will lower the demand for the bundle (good/service) and thus
will affect its price adversely and vice versa. In this vein, some marketed
products are tied with some environmental goods/services. When a person buys those
goods/services, he also buys the environmental goods/services tied with them.
The buyer pays not only for the marketed goods/services, but also for the
package that includes the tied up environmental goods/services. A diminution of
environmental goods/services, therefore, degrades the package and lowers its
price. This fact is used by the hedonic pricing method for valuation of
environmental goods and services. Therefore, this method is most suitable
to assess the value of local environmental attributes. It is used to estimate
economic benefits or costs associated with
environmental quality, such as air pollution, water pollution, or noise,
and environmental amenities, such as aesthetic views or proximity to
recreational sites, etc. These attributes directly affect house rents and land
prices in a locality. From changes in house rent or land prices, the valuation
of environmental attributes is done.
This method is applicable only to
valuation of those environmental goods/services that are tied to a marketed
goods/services and the prices of the latter respond to changes in the
quality/quantity and attributes of the former. It is also assumed that nothing
else modifies the relationship between them. Further, this method demands a
rich data base and reliable estimation method. It is also susceptible to the
choice of model specification used to estimation at hand. A wrong specification
of the model or the method of estimation may easily underestimate or
overestimate valuation of environmental goods/services.
III.4. Travel Cost Method: The
travel cost method is based on the assumption that the cost that people incur
to visit a site is the payment or the “price” of access to the site and its
environmental services. It may be measured in the money value of time as
well as the cost of journey. Peoples’ willingness to pay to visit the site may
be estimated based on the number of trips that they make at different travel
costs. The travel cost method is often used to estimate economic use
values of recreation spots or sites, effects of changes in access costs for a
recreational site, elimination of an existing recreational site, development of
a new recreational site and addition or removal of some environmental services
or alterations in the quality of services available at a recreational site. It
may also be used to evaluate the location decision of a public service to which
many people visit.
The travel cost method is
uncontroversial, inexpensive and reliable, but it has its own limitations.
Especially, it is difficult to assign pecuniary value to time cost of the
visits to a site. If the visits serve many purposes of a visitor, or very
different mix of different purposes of different visitors, the method may cut a
sorry figure in estimating the use value of services/characteristics of a site.
IV. Valuation on the Imputed
Willingness to Pay: The value of some environmental services can be
measured by estimating people’s willingness to pay, or the cost of actions they
are willing to take, to avoid the adverse effects that would occur if these
services were discontinued, or to replace the lost services or revive the
services. Three very closely related methods have been proposed that are based
on these considerations. These methods are: (a) Damage Cost Avoided Method, (b)
Replacement Cost Method, and (c) Substitute Cost Method. These methods are
based on the assumption that, if people incur costs to avoid damages caused by
lost environmental services, or replace them in case they are lost, then those
services must be worth at least what people paid to maintain or replace
them.
Are costs of damage avoidance or
replacement of an environmental good/service commensurate with the benefits
they provide? Possibly, costs are the lowest limit to the benefits when purely
economic considerations are made. Sometimes non-economic considerations
dominate the economic ones and in those cases, costs may be overwhelmingly
higher than the economic benefits. It is assumed that man is rational (in
economic sense of rationality). But in fact, man is so much guided by emotions,
feelings, etc. On these considerations, damage avoidance or replacement methods
of valuation are best suited only to cases where damage avoidance or
replacement expenditures have actually been, or will actually be, made. These
are risky and inaccurate methods to use.
V. Valuation on the Expressed
Willingness to Pay: As it has been mentioned earlier, many
environmental goods and services are not traded in markets, nor are they
closely related to or tied with any marketed goods. Therefore, people
cannot “reveal” their willingness to pay for them. Nor it is always possible to
impute people’s willingness to pay by their action or expressed intent to avoid
losing those environmental goods and services or replacing them if they are
lost. In such situations, therefore, a survey designed to make the people face
an artificial scenario may be carried out. They may directly be asked as to
what they would be willing to pay, if that is the hypothetical scenario. In
a simulated condition, people can be asked to make tradeoffs among different
alternatives. From the data generated by such surveys, people’s willingness to
pay may be estimated. In a way, these surveys experiment with the people to
know their willingness to pay for some environmental goods/services. Based on
this scheme, two methods have been suggested. These methods are: (a) Contingent
Valuation Method, and (b) Contingent Choice Method.
V.1. Contingent Valuation Method: The name
‘contingent’ valuation is based on the characteristic feature of this method as
it works on asking people to state their willingness to pay, contingent on a
specific hypothetical scenario and description of the environmental goods and
serviced. It is based on an assumption that people would do what they say.
Indeed this assumption makes the foundation of this method rather shaky because
the congruence in thinking, saying and doing is not necessary. It is not
unusual to experience that in saying people are guided by the ‘ideals’, but in
doing they quite forget the ideals. It is easy said than done, goes the
proverb. However, if there is some significant association between saying and
doing, this method may be very successful in eliciting the willingness of the
people to pay for the environmental goods and services and thus, their value.
Therefore, granted that its assumption is correct, the contingent valuation
method is a very versatile method which can be applied to valuation of almost
any kind of environmental goods and services irrespective of their being
marketed or not marketed. It can be used to estimate use value, non-use
(passive) value, option value (reserved for one’s future use) or bequest value
(reserved for the use by the future generation). On the other hand, it is also
the most controversial among the non-market valuation methods, mainly on
account of its shaky assumption.
It would be worthwhile to describe
the steps to be followed in the application of this method to valuation of
environmental goods and services. To begin, the evaluator has to define the
valuation problem, describing its nature, relevance, implications, etc. It may
be borne in mind that relevance and implications of the valuation problem
vis-à-vis the population to be surveyed for eliciting their expressed willingness
to pay may be important. It is easier and more natural to express one’s
willingness to pay for a good or service which one is concerned with than for
those goods and services one has no concern, relevance or even meaningfulness.
In the second step, the nature and procedure of survey are decided. What would
be the mode of obtaining the replies or ‘data’ on the expressed willingness to
pay ? Which questions are to be asked ? who will be surveyed ? What would be
the sample size ? And such details about the instrument, respondent and
procedure of the survey must be carefully determined. These surveys may be
quite expensive if the respondents are to be met in person. In such cases, the
cost constraints on survey are to be looked into. The instruments and the
procedure of survey are to be tested and perfected before they are finally
executed. In the next step the actual survey is implemented on the sample
respondents chosen by a well-designed sampling method. Finally, the data
obtained through the surveys are analyzed to estimate the expressed willingness
to pay. In the analysis one may deal with the non-responses suitably.
The outcome of the exercise based
on the contingent valuation method may be susceptible to many biases: (i)
Biases due to divergence between the intended import (of the evaluator) and
received import (by the respondents) of the hypothetical scenario put up in the
survey, (ii) Biases due to association of different scenarios with the one put
up by the evaluator before the respondents – once the evaluator puts up a
scenario before the respondent, it may invoke other scenarios in the minds of
the respondents inhibiting or promoting/boosting up the appreciation of the
evaluator’s scenario. This may lead to
biased responses, (iii) Evaluator’s scenario may invoke ‘warm glow’ effect –
feeling good to pay for the public good, or it may dampen the actual response
due to political biases evoked by the scenario – thus making the response
biased, (iv) Biases due to casual dealing of the respondents with the
whole exercise of the survey may be
there, (v) If people are first asked for their willingness to pay for one part
of an environmental asset and then asked to value the whole asset, the amounts
stated may be similar. This is referred to as the “embedding effect.” Due
to this effect, the responses are biased. (vi) Strategic bias - when the
respondent provides a biased answer in order to influence a particular
outcome. (vii) Information bias – it arises when people have to express
their opinion of something of which they do not know properly. In the
application of contingent valuation method, many respondents may not be able to
appreciate the problem and their expressed willingness to pay may incorporate
this kind of bias. The success of this method lies in drawing conclusions net
of these biases. This is a stupendous task.
Although it is claimed that this
method is equally effective in obtaining various types of values – use value,
non-use value, optional value and bequest value – one must look into the biases
that people exhibit between choice of the present over the future and the
choice of themselves over the others (their children). The future is uncertain.
People experience a sea change in things only in the part of their life time.
Uncertainty always costs and this cost is very likely to be incorporated in the
values that the respondents express. In using the contingent valuation method,
this fact should not be lost sight of.
V.2. The Contingent Choice Method: Much like
the contingent valuation method, the contingent choice method is a very
versatile method, which can be applied to valuation of almost any kind of
environmental goods and services irrespective of their being marketed or not
marketed. It can be used to estimate use value, non-use (passive) value option
value (reserved for one’s future use) or bequest value (reserved for the use by
the future generation).
Contingent choice method is also
referred to as the conjoint analysis. It was developed in the fields of
marketing and psychology to measure individual’s preferences for different
characteristics or attributes of a multi-attribute choice problem. This
method is similar to the contingent valuation. Like the contingent valuation
method, it is based on asking people to state their willingness to pay,
contingent on a specific hypothetical scenario and description of various
environmental goods and serviced of which they have to make a choice. Making
choice among different alternatives (environmental goods and services) in a
simulated or artificial scenario – rather than directly assigning pecuniary
values to the goods/services as done in the contingent valuation method – is
the characteristic feature of this method. From the data on contingent
choices or trade offs made by the people, values of different (alternative)
environmental goods/services are inferred by using different methods. The
method elicits information from the respondent on preference between various
alternatives of environmental goods and services, at different price or cost to
the individual. Suppose, there are five alternative baskets/bundle of
characteristics – A, B, C, D and E. They are available at prices P(A), P(B),
P(C), P(D) and P(E). The prices may be single or multiple valued. The
alternative commodity/service baskets may vary in quantity, quality, structure,
coverage or a mix thereof. The full details on these baskets or combinations
are given to the respondents. The
respondent is made to choose A, B, etc. at different prices. This exercise
provides the preference structure of the respondents and associates that
structure with the prices.
There are several alternative
formats to carry out the contingent choice analysis. Some of them are: (a) Contingent
Ranking – in the surveys individuals are asked to compare and rank
alternative action outcomes with various characteristics, including costs, (b) Discrete
Choice - respondents are simultaneously shown various
alternatives and their characteristics, and asked to identify the most
preferred alternative in the choice, (c) Paired Rating --
respondents are asked to compare two alternate situations and are asked to rate
them in terms of strength of preference. The choices bade by the respondents
are statistically analyzed using discrete choice statistical techniques, to
determine the relative values for the different characteristics or
attributes. Since price is one of the characteristics of the alternatives,
the choice is tagged with the pecuniary measure. It is possible, therefore, to
compute the respondent’s willingness to pay for the other characteristics.
It may be noted that derivation of
values from the data on contingent choices is more difficult and demanding than
that from the data on contingent valuation. Various methods have been developed
for this purpose. A very potent method to this end is the ‘Discrete Choice
Analysis’. Discrete choice analysis encompasses a
variety of experimental design techniques, data collection procedures, and
statistical procedures which can be used to predict the choices that consumers
will make between alternatives. These techniques apply when consumers have the
ability to choose between distinct ("discrete") courses of action.
The contingent choice method is
perhaps the most effective method to elicit the expressed willingness to pay
for environmental goods and services that may or may not be traded in the
market. However, it has several limitations due mainly to the methodology it
adopts. First, respondents may find some tradeoffs difficult to
evaluate, because they are unfamiliar with them – which may introduce
information bias into their choices. Secondly, the respondents may apply very
simplified and routine decision rules if the choices are complicated. Thirdly,
the complexity of survey, response and analysis grows at least at a quadratic
rate with the number of alternatives included in the scenarios. When presented
with a large number of tradeoff questions, respondents may lose interest or
become frustrated and psychologically inconsistent. On the other hand, by only
providing a limited number of options, the survey may force respondents to make
choices that they were not to make otherwise.
VI. Valuation by using Similar but
Extraneous Information: Sometimes it is possible to obtain information on the
valuation of environmental goods and services done elsewhere, in similar (or
somewhat different) context. It is possible to use that information to
valuation at hand. The method that does this is called the Benefit Transfer
Method. Benefit transfer is often used when it is too expensive
and/or there is too little time available to conduct an original valuation
study, yet some measure of benefits is needed. It is important to note that
benefit transfers can only be as accurate as the initial study. Moreover, since
the context or locational attributes of the initial study do not fully match
with the exercise at hand, this method is prone to several limitations.
Nevertheless, it may provide some measure to the importance and benefits of
environmental goods and services.
It may be possible to reinforce or
modify the benefit transfer exercise on evaluation by some limited study in the
field under consideration. A suitable study that would not require much time
and resources may be carried out to obtain some information regarding the
valuation problem at hand and in the light of this information, the initial
values may be modified. This is very similar to using the values of the initial
study (or studies) as a ‘prior’, which is modified in the light of the new
information yielding the ’posterior’ values.
VII. A Critical View of the
Pecuniary Valuation Methods: Although it may be argued that since the
environmental goods and services are often public goods subject to the ‘tragedy
of the commons’ and the public bodies/managers in charge of their creation,
maintenance and development incur costs that are measured in pecuniary terms,
their benefits too must be measured in pecuniary terms to keep the account
straight and intelligible. However, the enterprise of measuring the benefits of
such goods and services in money terms has a cultural bias often unnoticed or
ignored. Long back, Thorstein Veblen (1899 a), pointed out that prevalence of
pecuniary measures in all walks of life is a sine qua non and the
characteristic feature of the Leisure class culture. In this milieu, pecuniary
emulation, pecuniary standard of living and pecuniary canons of taste and dress
preoccupy everyone’s mind. Measurement of everything in monetary terms becomes
the habit of mind since people cannot understand anything that does not refer
to money. This habit enters into the collective unconscious. Valuation of
environmental goods and services in pecuniary measures is only an expression of
this habit of thought.
Additionally, we may also note
that the pecuniary valuation methods assume a constant ‘value’ of money over
time, generations, locations, income groups and individuals. This is a
particular type of habit of thought, inculcated by the neo-classical
economists, with which we think. This leads to deification of money. Assigning immutability to value of money
introduces a serious bias in valuation, especially when the experience suggests
that value of money varies over time, among income groups, etc.
We have pointed out the weaknesses
of every method described above, irrespective of the fact whether a particular
one is based on the revealed, imputed or expressed willingness to pay. Each one
is prone to give valuation that may not be sensitive enough to discriminate the
less beneficial from the more beneficial. Their standard errors of estimate
(interpreted slightly liberally) are so large as to make them insensitive
measures of differential values.
It may also be noted that
(possibly except the market price method) the pecuniary valuation methods are
‘Indirect or proxy methods’, which measure value of environmental goods and
services indirectly, through some proxy variable. In the productivity method,
the price of final good is a proxy variable, while in hedonic pricing method
the price of tied good/service works as the proxy variable. In the travel cost
method, the travel cost of visit is the proxy variable. Similarly, in imputed
and expressed valuation methods also, valuation of proxy variable is carried
out. The mute question is: is there a one-to-one linear relationship in the
value of a proxy variable and the value of the ‘object variable’ ?. This is a
difficult question to answer.
Earlier, we have tentatively
hinted at other assumptions that are made to make these methods rest on. To
recall, one of the assumptions is to identify the ‘desired’ with the
‘desirable’. Willingness to pay is the measure of the intensity of desire, but
not of the status of ‘desirability’.
There could be a serious and wide hiatus between the status of being
desired and that of being desirable. Desires spring from instincts, emotions
and habits. Most of the desires are rooted in the culture in which one lives
and is brought up. With the economic progress, larger and larger part of
desires become culture bound. A leisure class culture characterizes high
valuation of conspicuous consumption and conspicuous leisure. Wastage is
culturally supported. In this milieu, the desires of the people may suggest the
value system that is characteristically wasteful and detrimental to the prudent
allocation and use of scarce economic and environmental resources.
We have also seen that the
valuation methods based on measurement of expressed willingness to pay assume
that what people say they would also do. This assumption is far from being
realistic. The divergence between saying and doing may cripple the contingent
valuation method. Investigations have shown a considerable inconsistency in
pair-wise comparisons of alternatives. Inconsistencies creep in even when the
people making choices are dealing with the real world situation. When they are
dealing with the artificial choice situation, inconsistencies may be much more
alarming. Although it has been attempted to derive consistent and transitive
preference pattern from the inconsistent choice data, the results are, in
general, far from being satisfactory. Otherwise also, the contingent choice
method of valuation has not been put to empirical tests of validity. In this
situation, one has to accept the validity of these methods only with a caution.
We may also see that
behind all the methods described
above, there is a single
philosophy that the consumers and their ability to pay determine the value of
environmental goods and services. The idea that the consumer assigns meaning to
environment and the nature, places man in general and the consumer, his
purchasing power and his willingness to spend in particular, in the center.
This reflects the attitude of man towards the non-human environment - his sense
of the collective power of human communities over the nature. This sense of
power, especially underneath the contingent valuation and contingent choice
methods, is not very eco-friendly in its nature and impact on human decisions
regarding the environment.
VIII. A Quest for
Non-pecuniary Measure of Value: As Veblen (1899 b) noted “the question of value is a question of the
extent to which the given item of wealth forwards the end of nature's unfolding
process. It is valuable, intrinsically and really, in so far as it avails the
great work which nature has in hand”. In this sense, pecuniary valuation of
environmental goods and services is ill conceived. It is based on the
mechanistic conception of the economy as well as the ecology that houses the
economy. The valuation should be based on the organic balance and the position
of an environmental attribute vis-à-vis the others in that grand scheme of
nature. Looking at the problem in this manner suggests us to evolve
non-pecuniary methods of valuation of environmental goods and services.
One may look into the
possibilities of non-pecuniary valuation in economic models such as von Neumann
(balanced) growth model and others developed along that line. The original von
Neumann model of an expanding economy does not include consumption and makes
several unrealistic assumptions. Michio Morishima (Takayama, pp. 499-501)
included consumption into the von Neumann model and by altering some
assumptions he made a more realistic model. The von Neumann-Morishima model of
the expanding economy does not include money in it, and therefore, it does not
give us prices in pecuniary terms. All the relations in the model are in
physical terms. The model gives optimal (non-negative) outputs and prices. With
suitable modifications, this model may be used to obtain non-pecuniary values
of environmental resources in terms of (say) human labour or any other suitable
numéraire.
Operations,
expansion and structural changes in an economy and its place in the ecology may
be viewed not from the angle of maximization of utility or economic gains, but
from the angle of increase in the entropy of the ecological system in which the
economy is placed. Increase in entropy over time is unavoidable, but the rate
of its increase can be influenced by a deliberate policy implementation. Slower
increase in entropy is environmentally desirable. If we chose to minimize the
rate of increase in entropy, we have to choose the decision variables suitably
(Georgescu-Roegen, 1971). In doing so, we would obtain the non-pecuniary shadow
prices of each economic and environmental good/service in terms of entropy in
the similar manner as we obtain prices by solving the mathematical model of an
economy with an objective to maximize utility or satisfaction. This approach
also looks at the economy as an evolving organism than a mechanistic system.
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