Professor Carl Davidson



 
Current Working Papers:

Information Sharing in Union-Firm Relationships (forthcoming in the International Economic Review)
Abstract:  Large firms often negotiate wage rates with labor unions.  When they do so, an ex-ante agreement to share information about parameters should make it more likely that they will be able to reach an agreement and capture the gains from trade.  However, if the firm refuses to share information, the union may shade down its wage demand in order to increase the probability that it will be accepted.  We show that this reduction in the wage can increase the joint surplus to be shared by the agents and increase social welfare.  As a result, there are some circumstances in which bargaining with incomplete information can be better for the agents and society than bargaining with complete information.  We also show that many other outcomes are possible and that social welfare and expected profits are highly non-linear with respect to key parameters. (This paper is joint with Anthony Creane)
(Supplemental Appendix)
(Previous Version)

Pattern Bargaining as an Equilibrium Outcome
Abstract:  Pattern bargaining is a negotiating strategy that is often employed by industry-wide unions in oligopolistic industries to set wages.  The conventional wisdom is that pattern bargaining “takes labor out of competition” and therefore softens bargaining between the union and firms, resulting in higher industry wide wages.   However, this does not explain why firms agree to pattern bargaining.  We analyze a model in which the agents negotiate over the bargaining mechanism, the order of the negotiations and the wages when faced with uncertainty.  We show that whether pattern bargaining arises in equilibrium depends on the source of the uncertainty. Finally, we show that when equilibrium is characterized by pattern bargaining, it may harm consumers.  This provides an explanation as to how pattern bargaining can arise in equilibrium and why there is often strong political opposition to it.   (This paper is joint with Anthony Creane)
(Previous Version)

Globalization and Firm Level Adjustment with Imprefect Labor Markets (forthcoming in the Journal of International Economics)
Abstract:  In a model with search generated unemployment and heterogeneity on both sides of the labor market, we show that firms that export will be bigger, more capital intensive and pay higher wages than other firms. We also show that there will be imperfect persistence in the decision to export and that liberalization increases the wage gap between high and low skill workers.  We also explore the relationship between openness and productivity and show that in export-oriented markets openness can increase aggregate productivity while generating within-firm productivity losses for the weakest firms.  Finally, we show that openness can lead to within-firm productivity gains for the weakest firms in import-competing industries. (This paper is joint with Steven Matusz and Andrei Shevchenko)

Outsourcing Peter to Pay Paul: High Skill Expectations and Low-Skill Wages with Imperfect Labor Markets (forthcoming in Macroeconomic Dynamics)
Abstract:  In this paper we investigate the impact of globalization on wages earned by low and high-skill workers when openness leads to the outsourcing of high-tech jobs abroad. We have show that low-skill workers may become considerably better off after globalization due to the fact that high-skill workers start accepting low-tech jobs. The switch in the behavior of high-skill workers brings about general equilibrium responses from the firm side of the labor market with the outside options for low-skill workers improving significantly. This feedback works as a magnification mechanism that leads to a discontinuous wage increase that one would not be able to get without careful modeling frictions in the labor market. (This paper is joint with Steven Matusz and Andrei Shevchenko)

Trade Liberalization and Compensation (working paper version; published version appeared in the International Economic Review in 2006)
Abstract:  Trade liberalization harms some groups while generating aggregate net benefits.  In this paper we investigate the best way to compensate those who lose from freer trade.  We consider four labor market policies: wage subsidies, employment subsidies, trade adjustment assistance (i.e., unemployment insurance) and training subsidies.  Our goal is to find the policy that fully compensates each group of losers at the lowest cost to the economy (in terms of deadweight loss).  We argue that the best way to compensate those who bear the adjustment costs triggered by liberalization is with a temporary targeted wage subsidy while the best way to compensate those who remain trapped in the previously protected sector is with temporary targeted employment subsidies.  Our analysis also indicates that the cost of achieving full compensation is relatively low. (This paper is joint with Steven Matusz)

The Optimal Fine for Risk Neutral Offenders: A New Approach to the Becker Conundrum
Abstract:  Gary Becker’s classic 1968 paper demonstrates that fines dominate expenditures on detection as a means of controlling illegal activities, because fines represent socially-costless transfers of income.   As a result, fines should be set at their maximal levels.  Subsequent research has produced several exceptions to this rule, but they involve significant departures from Becker’s framework.  We use a model that is consistent with this framework (risk-neutral agents and only one type and level of “crime”) to demonstrate that it may be optimal to set fines below their maximal levels.  The novel feature of our model is that sufficiently high fines interfere with prior commitments made by offenders to compensate other private agents (e.g., debt).  In some cases, fines should be low enough to leave offenders with positive assets after honoring all such commitments.  (This paper is joint with Larry Martin and Jay Wilson)

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